The Reverend Thomas Bayes died 250 years ago this month, in 1761. His famous “Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances”, from which stems “Bayes’ Rule”, was published posthumously 247 years ago in 1764 by the Royal Society. A detailed review of the argument in modern notation is Edwards (1978) in the Scandanavian Journal of Statistics. Any of us scientists working today would be beyond lucky to have our work cited 250 later!
The R Revolutions blog highlights the anniversary and is posting videos explaining the significance of Bayesian thinking. Check it out!